GENERALMATHS · PROBABILITY & RISK

Kelly criterion calculator.

Estimate a full or fractional Kelly stake from bankroll, odds and your own win-probability assumption.

Kelly criterion inputs

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YOUR RESULTS
Full Kelly fraction8.36%
Selected Kelly fraction4.18%
Suggested stake under your assumptions₹4,181.82
Expected value per ₹100 staked₹9.20
ScreenPositive edge only if your probability estimate is accurate.

Educational probability math only, not betting, financial or legal advice. Odds move, limits apply, models can be wrong and every wager can lose money. Check local laws and seek support if gambling is causing harm.

HOW THIS RESULT WAS BUILTDeterministic calculationEngine calculator-core-1.0.0

Method: The calculator applies the stated odds and probability formula to editable inputs. It does not estimate future results or validate an individual wager.

Inputs used: Currency = INR; Available bankroll = 100,000 ₹; Decimal odds = 2.1 ×; Your estimated win probability = 52 %; Fraction of full Kelly = 50 %

Assumptions: The result uses the values, units and options shown in the input snapshot.

Scope and warnings: Educational probability math only, not betting, financial or legal advice. Odds move, limits apply, models can be wrong and every wager can lose money. Check local laws and seek support if gambling is causing harm. Rounding and excluded real-world terms can make an external result differ.

UNDERSTAND THE RESULT

How this kelly criterion calculator works

The calculator applies the stated odds and probability formula to editable inputs. It does not estimate future results or validate an individual wager.

A worked example

Change the odds and assumptions to see the arithmetic update before making any decision.

Does this tool make a bet safe or profitable?

No. It only shows mathematical outcomes under the values entered. Market movement, limits, voids, fees, incorrect probability estimates and losses remain possible.

Calculations run on your device. Review your results before exporting or sharing them.

Use the stated conversion

Published by ToolMitra — methods and editorial approach.